According to my contact with the team, Will Hill did not attend this morning's team meeting with Coach Muschamp.
It is believed that Hill will declare for the NFL Draft.
On a side note, it is believed that one of Hill's advisors is Dee Webb.
Wednesday, January 5, 2011
Monday, December 27, 2010
Staff Update
Another day another rumor or two.
It appears as though James Willis will be joining the staff. His position is still unknown, however I am hearing that DC is unlikely. Willis recently resigned from the Texas Tech staff, where he served as DC under Tommy Tuberville. I think it is likely that Willis will at a minimum coach LBs. The addition of Willis would mean that DJ Durkin would either coach just DEs or be the ST coordinator.
A leading candidate for the DC position, or Co-DC position, has also emerged. Quinn is currently coaching the Seattle Seahawks DL and previously coached with the Jets, Hofstra and William & Mary.
Word is also circulating that both coordinators could end up being co-coordinator positions, with one person coming from the NFL for both sides of the ball.
It appears as though James Willis will be joining the staff. His position is still unknown, however I am hearing that DC is unlikely. Willis recently resigned from the Texas Tech staff, where he served as DC under Tommy Tuberville. I think it is likely that Willis will at a minimum coach LBs. The addition of Willis would mean that DJ Durkin would either coach just DEs or be the ST coordinator.
A leading candidate for the DC position, or Co-DC position, has also emerged. Quinn is currently coaching the Seattle Seahawks DL and previously coached with the Jets, Hofstra and William & Mary.
Word is also circulating that both coordinators could end up being co-coordinator positions, with one person coming from the NFL for both sides of the ball.
Wednesday, December 22, 2010
What I am hearing
Florida Coaching Staff.
I have been told that 2 current coaches have already been retained for next year. Unfortunately, I haven't been told who those coaches are as of today. But we do know that one isn't Steve Addazio. Addazio was offered the offensive line coach position at Texas, but reportedly turned that down and will be the next head coach at Temple.
Count me as one of the people that think Addazio will make an excellent head coach. The players love him and he is an excellent recruiter. As the year wore on it was obvious that he was in over his head here at Florida, but I think he will do fine in Philadelphia.
Of the remaining staff members, we know that Teryl Austin will not be on the staff next year. Supposedly he will be the next DC at Texas - weird that they like our staff more than we do. I have a feeling that Stan Drayton will be on the staff, because it is typical for an incoming coach to retain one of the african-american staff members and since we only had 2 and 1 is going to Texas....
So I will put the remaining staff members in order of likelihood of staying:
Brian White - TE coach and FB coach.
Chuck Heater - S coach
Scot Loeffler - QB coach
Zach Azzani - WR coach
DJ Durkin - LB coach
Here is what I think our staff will look like at the end of the day:
Will Muschamp - HBC
Al Borges - OC and QB coach(currently at SDSU and coach with Muschamp at Auburn)
other possibilities
Garrick McGee - OC at Arkansas
Major Applewhite - RB coach at Texas
Stan Drayton - RB coach
other possibilities
Greg Knox - RB coach at Miss. State
Robert Gillespie - RB coach at Oklahoma State
David Kelly - WR coach and recruiting coordinator (currently at UCF)
other possibilities
Stan Hixon - WR coach with Buffalo Bills
Bobby Williams - TE coach at Alabama
Stacey Searels - OL coach (currently at UGA and coached at LSU with Muschamp)
other possibilities
Tim Davis - OL coach and running game coordinator with Minnesota Vikings
Joe Wickline OL coach at Oklahoma State
Kirby Smart - DC and LB coach (currently at Alabama and coached with Muschamp)
other possibilities
any of the below with Muschamp handling the defensive calls during the game
Bo Davis - DT coach (currently at Alabama and coach with Muschamp)
other possibilities:
Terry Price - DL coach at Ole Miss
Mike Tolleson - DE coach at Texas
John Papuchis - ST coordinator and DE coach (currently at NEB and coach at LSU with Muschamp)
Chuck Heater - secondary coach
My list above is one short, but you get the idea. I see a staff that will emphasize physical play and be deeply connected to the Southern way of playing football.
I will update my list as I hear more, but the key date is the day after our bowl game, which also coincides with the end of the NFL regular season.
I have been told that 2 current coaches have already been retained for next year. Unfortunately, I haven't been told who those coaches are as of today. But we do know that one isn't Steve Addazio. Addazio was offered the offensive line coach position at Texas, but reportedly turned that down and will be the next head coach at Temple.
Count me as one of the people that think Addazio will make an excellent head coach. The players love him and he is an excellent recruiter. As the year wore on it was obvious that he was in over his head here at Florida, but I think he will do fine in Philadelphia.
Of the remaining staff members, we know that Teryl Austin will not be on the staff next year. Supposedly he will be the next DC at Texas - weird that they like our staff more than we do. I have a feeling that Stan Drayton will be on the staff, because it is typical for an incoming coach to retain one of the african-american staff members and since we only had 2 and 1 is going to Texas....
So I will put the remaining staff members in order of likelihood of staying:
Brian White - TE coach and FB coach.
Chuck Heater - S coach
Scot Loeffler - QB coach
Zach Azzani - WR coach
DJ Durkin - LB coach
Here is what I think our staff will look like at the end of the day:
Will Muschamp - HBC
Al Borges - OC and QB coach(currently at SDSU and coach with Muschamp at Auburn)
other possibilities
Garrick McGee - OC at Arkansas
Major Applewhite - RB coach at Texas
Stan Drayton - RB coach
other possibilities
Greg Knox - RB coach at Miss. State
Robert Gillespie - RB coach at Oklahoma State
David Kelly - WR coach and recruiting coordinator (currently at UCF)
other possibilities
Stan Hixon - WR coach with Buffalo Bills
Bobby Williams - TE coach at Alabama
Stacey Searels - OL coach (currently at UGA and coached at LSU with Muschamp)
other possibilities
Tim Davis - OL coach and running game coordinator with Minnesota Vikings
Joe Wickline OL coach at Oklahoma State
Kirby Smart - DC and LB coach (currently at Alabama and coached with Muschamp)
other possibilities
any of the below with Muschamp handling the defensive calls during the game
Bo Davis - DT coach (currently at Alabama and coach with Muschamp)
other possibilities:
Terry Price - DL coach at Ole Miss
Mike Tolleson - DE coach at Texas
John Papuchis - ST coordinator and DE coach (currently at NEB and coach at LSU with Muschamp)
Chuck Heater - secondary coach
My list above is one short, but you get the idea. I see a staff that will emphasize physical play and be deeply connected to the Southern way of playing football.
I will update my list as I hear more, but the key date is the day after our bowl game, which also coincides with the end of the NFL regular season.
Friday, December 17, 2010
Power Rankings – Pre Bowl
First of all I apologize to our blog readers, should any actually remain. In the past 2 weeks I’ve moved residences (leaving me without computer access) and been down with a nasty case of the Flu. So I’ve been AWOL during this active time (welcome Will Muschamp!)
I know some of you have looked at my Power Rankings in the past for “investment” purposes, so they are presented here pre-bowl (all disclaimers apply – not a gambling website). Here are the Pre-Bowl Rankings for all 120 NCAA teams –
Auburn is our number 1, and BCS opponent Oregon 6th. The Ducks rank so relatively low due to their super-easy schedule this year – 76th of 120 teams per the NCAA.
If you want to use these rankings to make a “prediction”, multiply the Power Ranking score (last number) by 27 and compare the values between teams. For example, Florida has a 32.73 (1.2124 x 27) and Penn State a 29.72 (1.1009 x 27) making Florida a 3 point favorite at a neutral location.
Notably, Auburn looks to be about a 9 point favorite over Oregon per this method.
*Methodology
(SD Ratio + SO Ratio+ W/L Record) * SOS = Power Value
Explained further –
SD Ratio is a ratio of each team’s scoring defense to the best scoring defense. This is made into a ratio that compares it to the top Scoring Defense.
SO Ratio is a ratio of each team’s scoring offense to the best scoring offense.
W/L record is a calculation of % record done as follows W/(W+(L*L)). In this way losses are given increasing weight. (1 loss is still “1”, but 2 losses are “4”, and so on).
We add the three components together. Then the number is multiplied by the strength of schedule (also a ratio) per the NCAA, The end result is the power ranking.
I know some of you have looked at my Power Rankings in the past for “investment” purposes, so they are presented here pre-bowl (all disclaimers apply – not a gambling website). Here are the Pre-Bowl Rankings for all 120 NCAA teams –
1 | 2.2523 | ||
2 | 2.1603 | ||
3 | TCU | 2.0826 | |
4 | 2.0100 | ||
5 | 1.9592 | ||
6 | 1.8915 | ||
7 | 1.8792 | ||
8 | LSU | 1.8380 | |
9 | 1.8374 | ||
10 | Stanford | 1.8097 | |
11 | 1.7954 | ||
12 | 1.7643 | ||
13 | 1.7466 | ||
14 | 1.7436 | ||
15 | 1.6969 | ||
16 | Virginia Tech | 1.6036 | |
17 | 1.5793 | ||
18 | 1.5223 | ||
19 | 1.4623 | ||
20 | 1.4620 | ||
21 | 1.4017 | ||
22 | 1.3452 | ||
23 | 1.3254 | ||
24 | 1.3150 | ||
25 | Notre Dame | 1.2978 | |
26 | 1.2959 | ||
27 | 1.2378 | ||
28 | 1.2124 | ||
29 | Air Force | 1.2120 | |
30 | 1.1846 | ||
31 | 1.1800 | ||
32 | 1.1642 | ||
33 | UCF | 1.1617 | |
34 | 1.1375 | ||
35 | 1.1245 | ||
36 | 1.1199 | ||
37 | 1.1130 | ||
38 | 1.1116 | ||
39 | Penn St. | 1.1009 | |
40 | Navy | 1.0962 | |
41 | Clemson | 1.0956 | |
42 | Baylor | 1.0873 | |
43 | 1.0863 | ||
44 | 1.0829 | ||
45 | 1.0593 | ||
46 | 1.0556 | ||
47 | 1.0549 | ||
48 | 1.0060 | ||
49 | 1.0059 | ||
50 | Southern Miss. | 1.0027 | |
51 | 0.9899 | ||
52 | 0.9761 | ||
53 | 0.9517 | ||
54 | 0.9507 | ||
55 | 0.9445 | ||
56 | 0.9297 | ||
57 | 0.9121 | ||
58 | 0.9104 | ||
59 | BYU | 0.9077 | |
60 | 0.9050 | ||
61 | 0.8936 | ||
62 | 0.8870 | ||
63 | 0.8864 | ||
64 | SMU | 0.8792 | |
65 | Iowa St. | 0.8780 | |
66 | 0.8669 | ||
67 | 0.8618 | ||
68 | 0.8601 | ||
69 | 0.8570 | ||
70 | 0.8444 | ||
71 | 0.8340 | ||
72 | 0.8269 | ||
73 | 0.8153 | ||
74 | 0.8027 | ||
75 | 0.7979 | ||
76 | 0.7949 | ||
77 | Northwestern | 0.7871 | |
78 | 0.7842 | ||
79 | Georgia Tech | 0.7637 | |
80 | Purdue | 0.7627 | |
81 | Army | 0.7627 | |
82 | 0.7579 | ||
83 | 0.7547 | ||
84 | 0.7456 | ||
85 | 0.7418 | ||
86 | 0.7240 | ||
87 | 0.7141 | ||
88 | 0.7062 | ||
89 | FIU | 0.6964 | |
90 | Duke | 0.6931 | |
91 | 0.6914 | ||
92 | 0.6902 | ||
93 | 0.6880 | ||
94 | UAB | 0.6710 | |
95 | 0.6629 | ||
96 | Rice | 0.6577 | |
97 | UCLA | 0.6490 | |
98 | La.-Monroe | 0.6440 | |
99 | 0.6415 | ||
100 | 0.6280 | ||
101 | Tulane | 0.6173 | |
102 | UTEP | 0.6143 | |
103 | 0.6064 | ||
104 | 0.6055 | ||
105 | UNLV | 0.5998 | |
106 | 0.5736 | ||
107 | 0.5544 | ||
108 | Vanderbilt | 0.5328 | |
109 | 0.5178 | ||
110 | 0.5043 | ||
111 | La.-Lafayette | 0.5018 | |
112 | 0.5004 | ||
113 | 0.4986 | ||
114 | 0.4842 | ||
115 | 0.4467 | ||
116 | 0.4451 | ||
117 | 0.4409 | ||
118 | 0.4367 | ||
119 | 0.4314 | ||
120 | 0.4296 |
Auburn is our number 1, and BCS opponent Oregon 6th. The Ducks rank so relatively low due to their super-easy schedule this year – 76th of 120 teams per the NCAA.
If you want to use these rankings to make a “prediction”, multiply the Power Ranking score (last number) by 27 and compare the values between teams. For example, Florida has a 32.73 (1.2124 x 27) and Penn State a 29.72 (1.1009 x 27) making Florida a 3 point favorite at a neutral location.
Notably, Auburn looks to be about a 9 point favorite over Oregon per this method.
*Methodology
(SD Ratio + SO Ratio+ W/L Record) * SOS = Power Value
Explained further –
SD Ratio is a ratio of each team’s scoring defense to the best scoring defense. This is made into a ratio that compares it to the top Scoring Defense.
SO Ratio is a ratio of each team’s scoring offense to the best scoring offense.
W/L record is a calculation of % record done as follows W/(W+(L*L)). In this way losses are given increasing weight. (1 loss is still “1”, but 2 losses are “4”, and so on).
We add the three components together. Then the number is multiplied by the strength of schedule (also a ratio) per the NCAA, The end result is the power ranking.
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