Here's what I have for an individual team's chance of going to the BCS title game -
85.49% | |
TCU | 59.34% |
39.01% | |
10.62% | |
LSU | 2.76% |
1.17% |
"Other" would have a 1.7% chance here.
Auburn's chances decrease this week as the projections I am using have the game against South Carolina narrowing to Auburn as a mere 3 point favorite.
TCU, on the other hand, is essentially done with their season (one easy game remaining at New Mexico), and need AU to lose to take that second spot.
Here are the chances of a particular match-up -
TCU-ORE | 49.09% |
AUII-ORE | 15.40% |
AU-ORE | 11.93% |
BSU-ORE | 7.78% |
TCU-AUII | 4.92% |
TCU-AU | 4.06% |
BSU-AUII | 1.17% |
BSU-AU | 0.93% |
LSU-TCU | 0.90% |
LSU-ORE | 0.85% |
LSU-BSU | 0.52% |
0.37% | |
OK ST- ORE | 0.35% |
LSU-AUII | 0.25% |
OK ST-BSU | 0.22% |
LSU-AU | 0.18% |
OK ST-AU II | 0.10% |
0.07% | |
OK ST-LSU | 0.06% |
"AU II" represents a one-loss Auburn team playing for the title.
1 comment:
I'm watching the Oregon vs Oregon ST. Not impressed with Oregon at all and do not think they could run against either Wisconsin or Ohio State, Ohio State is a better team than the one that mauled the Ducks last year in the Rose Bowl. This BCS crap is just that, crap!
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